Location Intelligence - Bayelsa State
Tracked Incidents (2026)
6
Most Prevalent Risk
Unsafe Route/Violent Attacks, LEA Brutality
Most Affected LGA
Nembe
Operational Score
0.03
Ranked 37thInsights
AnalysisActivity Pace
Security incidents in Bayelsa have significantly decreased by 72.7% between January 1, 2026, and June 1, 2026, compared to the same period in 2025. Fatalities saw an even steeper drop of 90.6%, and the number of victims decreased by 78.4%. This suggests a substantial improvement in the overall security situation, potentially due to enhanced security measures or reduced criminal activity.
Rising Risk
While overall incidents have dropped, 'Unsafe Route/Violent Attacks' remain a concern, accounting for 2 out of the 6 incidents recorded from January 1 to June 1, 2026. This risk, along with 'LEA Brutality' and 'Cultism', indicates persistent challenges in specific areas or against particular groups that require continued monitoring.
Severity Level
The number of fatalities has drastically reduced from 32 in the period of January 1 to June 1, 2025, to 3 in the same period of 2026, a decrease of 90.6%. This significant improvement in reducing loss of life is a positive development, though the remaining 3 fatalities highlight that lethal threats persist.
Future Outlook
The sharp decline in incidents and fatalities suggests a more stable security outlook for Bayelsa in the near term. However, the continued presence of risks like 'Unsafe Route/Violent Attacks' means that vigilance remains necessary, particularly in areas like Nembe which was the most affected LGA.
Incidents in 2026 (Monthly)
Prevalent Risk
High Impact Incidents in Bayelsa (2026)
Incidents by Actors
Operational Risk
| Indicator | Incidents (Current) | Incidents (Prev) | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Terrorism | 1 | 0 | Escalating |
| Theft | 1 | 2 | Improving |