Charts, cards, recent incidents, and risk scoring
update from this control.
Tracked Incidents (2026)
57
Most Prevalent Risk
Homicide, Kidnapping
Most Affected LGA
Aleiro
Operational Score
2.68
Ranked 5th
Weighted Contribution
AI-Powered
Analyst Intelligence
Analysis
Activity Pace
Security incidents in Kebbi have significantly escalated between Jan 1, 2026 and Jul 1, 2026, compared to the same period last year. Incidents rose by 66.7% (45 vs 27), while fatalities saw an even sharper increase of 82.1% (142 vs 78). The number of victims also surged by 395.9% (481 vs 97), indicating a more severe impact from criminal activities.
Rising Risk
While homicide remains the most frequent risk with 16 incidents, the data from Jan 1 to Jul 1, 2026, shows a concerning rise in terrorism-related incidents, which now account for 7 occurrences, matching the count for kidnapping. This suggests a potential broadening of threat actors and methodologies in the state.
Severity Level
Homicide incidents recorded between Jan 1 and Jul 1, 2026, resulted in 16 recorded fatalities. With a total of 142 fatalities across 45 incidents, the average lethality rate is high, underscoring the extreme danger associated with ongoing security challenges in Kebbi.
Future Outlook
Given the substantial year-on-year increases in incidents, fatalities, and victims, the security outlook for Kebbi remains precarious. The continued dominance of banditry as the primary actor, coupled with the rise in terrorism, suggests that these trends are likely to persist in the near term without significant intervention.
Visual Analytics
Incident Intelligence
Incidents in 2026 (Monthly)
Monthly breakdown of tracked security incidents
Prevalent Risk
Top risk indicators by frequency
High Impact Incidents in Kebbi (2026)
LGA-level incident density map
Incidents by Actors
Distribution of incidents by actor type
Verified
Updates
Recent Incidents
in Kebbi - 2026
Latest verified incident records linked to this
state's location intelligence profile.
Jul 13, 2026Medium
Troops neutralise two terrorists in Kebbi, soldier reported missing
Aleiro
Troops of the Forward Operating Base, FOB, Tudun Bichi have killed two suspected terrorists during a gun battle in Danko/Wasagu Local Government Area of Kebbi State, while one soldier has been reported missing in action.
Jul 13, 2026Low
Troops neutralise two terrorists in Kebbi, soldier reported missing
Aleiro
Troops of the Forward Operating Base, FOB, Tudun Bichi have killed two suspected terrorists during a gun battle in Danko/Wasagu Local Government Area of Kebbi State, while one soldier has been reported missing in action. The troops moved to the area and engaged the suspected terrorists in a fierce exchange of gunfire, during which two of the suspects were neutralised. However, one soldier, who was armed with a PKT machine gun and an AK-47 rifle, was reported missing in action during the operation.
Jul 12, 2026Low
Troops foil terrorist attack, rescue 15 kidnap victims in Kebbi
Aleiro
Troops of Sector 2, Operation FANSAN YAMMA have rescued 15 kidnapped victims after repelling a terrorist attack in Marge community, Danko-Wasagu Local Government Area of Kebbi State. According to the post, the operation was launched after credible intelligence revealed the presence of armed terrorists in Marge, prompting troops to swiftly mobilise to the area.
Jul 10, 2026Low
Troops overpower terrorists, rescue four kidnap victims in Kebbi-Sokoto border
Aleiro
Troops of Sector 2, Operation FANSAN YAMMA, have rescued four kidnap victims after foiling a terrorist attack in Surimi, a border community between Kebbi and Sokoto states. The operation, carried out on Friday, followed credible intelligence indicating the presence of armed terrorists operating in Danko-Wasagu Local Government Area of Kebbi State.
Jul 07, 2026Low
Troops intercept vehicle conveying suspected stolen livestock in Kebbi
Aleiro
Troops of the 8 Division, Nigerian Army, in collaboration with members of the Forest Guards, have intercepted a vehicle conveying suspected stolen livestock in Arewa Local Government Area of Kebbi State.
Risk Breakdown
Operational Risk
Indicator
Incidents (Current)
Incidents (Prev)
Status
Kidnapping
10
20
Improving
Terrorism
9
9
Stable
Armed Robbery
3
7
Improving
Drug Trafficking/Drug Abuse
2
0
Escalating
Fraud
2
0
Escalating
Firearms Trafficking
1
1
Stable
Rape
1
0
Escalating
Theft
1
2
Improving
Enterprise
Intelligence
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