Location Intelligence - Kebbi State

Activity Pace

Security incidents in Kebbi have surged by 57.1% from 21 to 33 between January 1, 2025, and June 6, 2025, compared to the same period in 2026. This alarming increase is mirrored by a 33.3% rise in fatalities and a staggering 382.4% increase in victims, indicating a significant escalation in the severity and impact of security events.

Rising Risk

While Homicide remains the most frequent risk with 10 incidents, the data for January 1 to June 6, 2026, shows a notable increase in Terrorism incidents, which stand at 6. This suggests a potential rise in organized extremist activity, warranting close monitoring by security agencies and increased vigilance for travellers in the region.

Severity Level

With 104 fatalities recorded from 33 incidents between January 1 and June 6, 2026, the lethality rate is approximately 23.7%. The primary drivers of these fatalities appear to be Homicide (10 incidents) and Terrorism (6 incidents), highlighting the extreme danger posed by these specific threats in Kebbi.

Future Outlook

The current trajectory of increasing incidents and fatalities suggests that the security situation in Kebbi may continue to deteriorate in the near term. The high number of victims, particularly from banditry and terrorism, indicates a persistent and severe threat landscape that requires sustained security interventions and adaptive risk management strategies.