Verified security incidents, state-level risk scoring, and LGA-level visibility are backed by 8+ years of proprietary data.
Snapshot
LiveState
Katsina
Year
2026
Crime Index
1.26
Total Incidents
63
Filter Intelligence
Charts, cards, recent incidents, and risk scoring update from this control.
63
Terrorism, Homicide
Bakori
1.26
Ranked 14thWeighted Contribution
AI-Powered
Activity Pace
Security incidents in Katsina decreased by 14.5% from 69 to 59 between Jan 1 - Jul 1, 2025, and Jan 1 - Jul 1, 2026. Fatalities saw a more significant drop of 34.6%, from 133 to 87, and the number of victims fell by 50.4%, from 395 to 196 over the same period. This suggests a positive trend in reducing the overall impact of security events.
Rising Risk
While overall incidents have decreased, Terrorism remains the most frequent risk, accounting for 22 out of 59 incidents (37%) in the current period (Jan 1 - Jul 1, 2026). This indicates that despite broader security improvements, the threat from terrorist activities persists and requires continued vigilance.
Severity Level
Terrorism incidents in Katsina resulted in 87 fatalities out of 196 total victims between Jan 1 - Jul 1, 2026. While the overall number of fatalities decreased by 34.6% compared to the same period last year, the high concentration of deaths within terrorism-related events highlights its extreme lethality.
Future Outlook
The downward trend in incidents and fatalities suggests a potentially stabilizing security situation in Katsina. However, the persistent high number of terrorism-related incidents indicates that this threat remains a significant concern and could continue to drive casualties if not effectively countered.
Visual Analytics
Monthly breakdown of tracked security incidents
Top risk indicators by frequency
LGA-level incident density map
Distribution of incidents by actor type
Verified Updates
Latest verified incident records linked to this state's location intelligence profile.
Bakori
Troops of the 17 Brigade, Sector 2 of Operation Fansan Yamma, working alongside hybrid security forces, have stopped a planned attack on commuters along the KakumiGuga Road in Bakori Local Government Area of Katsina State, killing eight suspected terrorists.
Chanchaga
Troops of the Nigerian Army, working with operatives of the National Drug Law Enforcement Agency, NDLEA, have arrested three suspected drug peddlers allegedly supplying illicit substances to terrorists and other criminal elements in Katsina State.
Bakori
Police officers in Katsina State have foiled a cattle rustling attempt after engaging suspected bandits in a gun battle in Wakaji village, Dutsin-Ma Local Government Area. The incident was disclosed in a post shared on X by security analyst, Bakatsine on Tuesday. According to the post, the attack occurred on Monday night when suspected bandits invaded the village in an apparent attempt to steal cattle.
Bakori
[High Severity] Road Traffic Accident Faskari LGA, Katsina StateA fatal road traffic accident has resulted in eight (8) deaths and seventeen (17) injuries in Faskari LGA of Katsina State. The crash, which involved multiple casualties, has prompted emergency response efforts, with injured victims receiving treatment while authorities assess the cause of the incident.Advisory: Motorists are advised to exercise caution, adhere strictly to speed limits, and ensure vehicle roadworthiness before travel. Commuters should remain vigilant on highways and comply with traffic regulations to mitigate accident risks.
Bakori
The Hisbah Board in Dutsinma Local Government Area of Katsina State has intercepted a consignment of alcoholic beverages allegedly concealed inside sacks and bags while being transported into the area.
Risk Breakdown
| Indicator | Incidents (Current) | Incidents (Prev) | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Terrorism | 23 | 40 | Improving |
| Kidnapping | 11 | 63 | Improving |
| Drug Trafficking/Drug Abuse | 4 | 2 | Escalating |
| Armed Robbery | 3 | 10 | Improving |
| Firearms Trafficking | 1 | 2 | Improving |
| Human Trafficking | 1 | 1 | Stable |
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