Verified security incidents, state-level risk scoring, and LGA-level visibility are backed by 8+ years of proprietary data.
Snapshot
LiveState
Ogun
Year
2026
Crime Index
0.81
Total Incidents
105
Filter Intelligence
Charts, cards, recent incidents, and risk scoring update from this control.
105
Transportation Accident, Homicide
Abeokuta North
0.81
Ranked 21stWeighted Contribution
AI-Powered
Activity Pace
From January 1 to July 1, 2026, Ogun State experienced a significant decrease in security incidents, with a 36.5% drop in total incidents compared to the same period in 2025. Fatalities also saw a substantial reduction of 33.8%, and the number of victims decreased by 36.4%. This downward trend suggests an improvement in overall security conditions across the state during the first half of 2026.
Rising Risk
While overall incidents have decreased, 'Transportation Accidents' remain the most frequent risk, accounting for 26 incidents between January 1 and July 1, 2026. This indicates that road safety continues to be a primary concern, potentially exacerbated by infrastructure or driver behavior, and requires ongoing attention despite broader security improvements.
Severity Level
During the period of January 1 to July 1, 2026, Ogun State recorded 88 fatalities from 99 incidents, resulting in a lethality rate of approximately 88.9%. This high fatality rate, particularly when compared to the 133 fatalities from 156 incidents in the prior year (approx. 85.3%), highlights that while the number of incidents has decreased, the severity of those that do occur remains a critical concern.
Future Outlook
The observed decrease in incidents and fatalities from January 1 to July 1, 2026, suggests a positive security trajectory for Ogun State. However, the persistent high lethality rate indicates that security forces should remain vigilant and focus on mitigating the impact of incidents, especially those involving 'Transportation Accidents' and 'Homicide', to maintain this downward trend.
Visual Analytics
Monthly breakdown of tracked security incidents
Top risk indicators by frequency
LGA-level incident density map
Distribution of incidents by actor type
Verified Updates
Latest verified incident records linked to this state's location intelligence profile.
Abeokuta North
Armed men suspected to be kidnappers on Thursday, shot one Al-haqq Shobakin in the chest and abducted two other residents in Kobape area of Obafemi Owode Local Government Area of Ogun State.
Abeokuta North
Four armed hoodlums ambushed a residence in Kobape as a homeowner was preparing to drive out of his compound. A resident, Al-haqq Shobakin, who stepped out to open the gate, was shot by the gunmen as the driver forcefully sped through the gunfire to escape. Following the gunfire, the attackers abducted two other residents at the scene, identified as Kelvin Ayobami Moyegun and Kehinde Rufai, before fleeing the area. The wounded victim was rushed to a private medical facility while a joint security manhunt involving the Police, Amotekun Corps, and NSCDC was deployed to track the kidnappers.
Abeokuta North
The Federal Road Safety Corps, FRSC, Ogun State Sector Command, has confirmed the death of two men in a fatal road accident at Ogbere junction along the OgbereJ4 corridor.
Abeokuta North
Operatives of the Special Weapons and Tactics, SWAT, Unit of the Ogun State Police Command have arrested 43 more suspects as part of the ongoing Operation Kosaye (no chance).
Abeokuta North
Shock and confusion gripped residents of Adebiopon Village in the Obafemi Owode Local Government Area of Ogun State on Wednesday after a 50-year-old traditional priest, Muritala Shodiya, allegedly set himself ablaze. It was gathered from multiple sources in the community on Thursday that the incident occurred on Wednesday evening when Shodiya reportedly doused himself with petrol inside an uncompleted building before setting himself ablaze. The residents, PUNCH Metro gathered, quickly extinguished the fire and rushed him to the General Hospital, Ijaye, Abeokuta, where doctors pronounced him dead on Thursday morning.
Risk Breakdown
| Indicator | Incidents (Current) | Incidents (Prev) | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Theft | 11 | 9 | Escalating |
| Armed Robbery | 10 | 8 | Escalating |
| Kidnapping | 5 | 13 | Improving |
| Fraud | 3 | 5 | Improving |
| Organ Trafficking | 3 | 3 | Stable |
| Assaults | 2 | 19 | Improving |
| Drug Trafficking/Drug Abuse | 2 | 2 | Stable |
| Firearms Trafficking | 2 | 3 | Improving |
| Rape | 2 | 7 | Improving |
| Human Trafficking | 1 | 4 | Improving |
| Terrorism | 1 | 0 | Escalating |
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