Location Intelligence - Ogun State

Tracked Incidents (2026)

89

Most Prevalent Risk

Transportation Accident, Homicide

Most Affected LGA

Abeokuta North

Operational Score

0.69

Ranked 22nd
Weighted Contribution

Insights

Activity Pace

Security incidents in Ogun State have significantly decreased by 45.9% between January 1, 2026, and June 1, 2026, compared to the same period in 2025. Fatalities dropped by 43.5% and victims by 40.8%. This substantial reduction suggests an improved security posture across the state.

Rising Risk

While overall incidents have decreased, Transportation Accidents remain the most frequent risk, accounting for 24 incidents between January 1 and June 1, 2026. This indicates a persistent challenge on the state's roadways requiring continued attention and preventative measures.

Severity Level

During the period of January 1, 2026, to June 1, 2026, there were 74 fatalities recorded from 80 incidents, resulting in a high fatality rate. The primary driver of fatalities appears to be Transportation Accidents, though specific fatality breakdowns per risk type are not provided.

Future Outlook

The current downward trend in incidents and fatalities suggests a potentially more secure near-term outlook for Ogun State. However, the continued prominence of Transportation Accidents warrants ongoing vigilance and targeted interventions to maintain this positive trajectory.

Incidents in 2026 (Monthly)

Prevalent Risk

High Impact Incidents in Ogun (2026)

Incidents by Actors

Operational Risk

Indicator Incidents (Current) Incidents (Prev) Status
Theft 9 9 Stable
Armed Robbery 5 8 Improving
Fraud 3 5 Improving
Kidnapping 3 13 Improving
Organ Trafficking 3 3 Stable
Assaults 2 19 Improving
Firearms Trafficking 2 3 Improving
Rape 2 7 Improving
Drug Trafficking/Drug Abuse 1 2 Improving
Human Trafficking 1 4 Improving
Terrorism 1 0 Escalating