Charts, cards, recent incidents, and risk scoring
update from this control.
Tracked Incidents (2026)
67
Most Prevalent Risk
Kidnapping, Homicide
Most Affected LGA
Birnin Gwari
Operational Score
1.93
Ranked 7th
Weighted Contribution
AI-Powered
Analyst Intelligence
Analysis
Activity Pace
Between Jan 1, 2026 and Jul 1, 2026, total incidents remained stable at -1.6% compared to the same period in 2025. However, fatalities saw a significant 55% increase, rising from 40 to 62, and the number of victims increased by 68.1% from 213 to 358, indicating a more severe impact from security events.
Rising Risk
While overall incidents are stable, the number of fatalities has risen sharply by 55% (62 vs 40) between Jan 1, 2026 and Jul 1, 2026, compared to the same period last year. This suggests an increasing lethality of security incidents, with a greater proportion of events resulting in death.
Severity Level
In the period from Jan 1, 2026 to Jul 1, 2026, Kaduna recorded 62 fatalities from 63 incidents, resulting in a high fatality rate. Kidnapping incidents, which accounted for 27 of the total, and homicide incidents, numbering 12, are the most frequent risks and likely contribute significantly to the observed lethality.
Future Outlook
The sharp increase in fatalities and victims suggests that security actors, particularly bandits, are employing more aggressive tactics. This trend, coupled with the high number of kidnapping and homicide incidents, indicates a continued elevated risk of severe violence and potential loss of life for individuals and groups operating in Kaduna in the near future.
Visual Analytics
Incident Intelligence
Incidents in 2026 (Monthly)
Monthly breakdown of tracked security incidents
Prevalent Risk
Top risk indicators by frequency
High Impact Incidents in Kaduna (2026)
LGA-level incident density map
Incidents by Actors
Distribution of incidents by actor type
Verified
Updates
Recent Incidents
in Kaduna - 2026
Latest verified incident records linked to this
state's location intelligence profile.
Jul 13, 2026Low
Army troops intercept suspected arms traffickers in Kaduna
Birnin Gwari
Troops of Sector 7 of the Nigerian Army have intercepted suspected arms traffickers and recovered seven illegal firearms allegedly meant to be supplied to bandits. According to him, the operation was carried out at about 9:40 a.m. on Monday following credible intelligence regarding the movement of illegal weapons from Jos, Plateau State, to Niger State.
Jul 03, 2026Low
Troops foil cattle rustling operation, recover 50 in Kaduna
Birnin Gwari
Nigerian troops have recovered 50 rustled cattle after foiling a cattle rustling operation in Chikun Local Government Area of Kaduna State. Details of the incident were contained in a post shared on X by security analyst, Zagazola Makama, on Sunday.According to the post, troops deployed at the Forward Operating Base (FOB) in Kankomi acted on a distress call received at about 9:55 a.m. on Friday over the activities of suspected cattle rustlers in Ungwan Gontu community.
Jun 28, 2026Medium
Terrorists kill one, abduct 11 in fresh Kaduna attack
Birnin Gwari
Armed terrorists have attacked Ungwan Atiku village in Kachia Local Government Area of Kaduna State, killing one person and abducting 11 others. Three nursing mothers and their babies were among those abducted. The fresh attack has worsened the humanitarian crisis in Southern Kaduna where dozens of residents remain in captivity for months following earlier attacks. The attack was disclosed to DAILY POST by the former media aide to the late Kaduna State Governor, Sir Patrick Ibrahim Yakowa, Mr. Reuben Buhari. He disclose that the incident happened on Sunday, June 28.
Jun 28, 2026Medium
Terrorists kill one, abduct 11 in fresh Kaduna attack
Birnin Gwari
[High Severity] Terrorism / Kidnapping Kachia LGA, Kaduna StateArmed bandits attacked Ungwan Atiku village in Kachia LGA of Kaduna State, killing one (1) person and abducting eleven (11) others, including women and children. The assailants reportedly invaded the community, carried out the attack, and fled with the victims into nearby forested areas, while security concerns continue to escalate in the region.Advisory: Residents are advised to remain vigilant, particularly during night hours, and report suspicious movements promptly. Authorities should intensify patrols and intelligence-led operations in vulnerable communities, while travelers are urged to avoid non-essential movement in high-risk areas.
Jun 24, 2026Medium
Two officers killed as police rescue nine kidnaped victims in Kaduna
Birnin Gwari
Two police officers have been killed during a security operation that led to the rescue of nine kidnapped victims in Birnin Gwari Local Government Area of Kaduna State. Kaduna State Police Command said the victims were rescued after security operatives responded to intelligence reports that armed bandits had abducted several farmers in Unguwan Saidu village on June 24.
Risk Breakdown
Operational Risk
Indicator
Incidents (Current)
Incidents (Prev)
Status
Kidnapping
28
37
Improving
Terrorism
12
9
Escalating
Firearms Trafficking
3
9
Improving
Armed Robbery
2
6
Improving
Assaults
1
1
Stable
Enterprise
Intelligence
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