Location Intelligence - Federal Capital Territory State
Tracked Incidents (2026)
44
Most Prevalent Risk
Kidnapping, Fraud
Most Affected LGA
Abaji
Operational Score
0.82
Ranked 19thInsights
AnalysisActivity Pace
Security incidents in the Federal Capital Territory have significantly decreased by 52.3% between January 1 to June 10, 2025, and the same period in 2026. This trend is mirrored in fatalities, which dropped by 35%, and victims, down by 60%. This suggests an improvement in the overall security situation compared to last year.
Rising Risk
While overall incidents have decreased, Kidnapping remains a prominent threat in the Federal Capital Territory, accounting for 7 out of 42 incidents recorded between January 1 and June 10, 2026. This indicates that while broader security may be improving, specific high-impact crimes like kidnapping require continued focus.
Severity Level
Between January 1 and June 10, 2026, 26 fatalities were recorded from 42 incidents. This indicates a concerning lethality rate, where approximately 62% of recorded incidents resulted in death. This highlights the severe nature of the security challenges faced.
Future Outlook
Given the substantial year-on-year decrease in incidents and fatalities, the security outlook for the Federal Capital Territory appears to be improving. However, the persistent threat of kidnapping and the high lethality rate suggest that vigilance and targeted security interventions remain crucial.
Incidents in 2026 (Monthly)
Prevalent Risk
High Impact Incidents in Federal Capital Territory (2026)
Incidents by Actors
Operational Risk
| Indicator | Incidents (Current) | Incidents (Prev) | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kidnapping | 8 | 34 | Improving |
| Fraud | 6 | 5 | Escalating |
| Theft | 4 | 7 | Improving |
| Terrorism | 3 | 1 | Escalating |
| Drug Trafficking/Drug Abuse | 2 | 5 | Improving |
| Armed Robbery | 1 | 22 | Improving |
| Assaults | 1 | 11 | Improving |
| Rape | 1 | 0 | Escalating |