Verified security incidents, state-level risk scoring, and LGA-level visibility are backed by 8+ years of proprietary data.
Snapshot
LiveState
Oyo
Year
2026
Crime Index
1.42
Total Incidents
124
Filter Intelligence
Charts, cards, recent incidents, and risk scoring update from this control.
124
Fire Outbreak, Kidnapping
Afijio
1.42
Ranked 12thWeighted Contribution
AI-Powered
Activity Pace
Security incidents in Oyo have surged by 46.9% from 81 to 119 between January 1 to July 9, 2025, and the same period in 2026. This rapid escalation is further underscored by a dramatic 200% increase in fatalities, from 20 to 60, and a 268.6% rise in victims, from 51 to 188, indicating a significant worsening of the security situation.
Rising Risk
While Fire Outbreaks remain the most frequent incident type with 23 occurrences, Kidnapping incidents have risen to 17 in the current period (Jan 1 - Jul 9, 2026). This marks a significant increase and highlights kidnapping as a growing concern for corporate security managers and travellers operating within Oyo.
Severity Level
The data indicates a severe increase in the lethality of incidents, with 60 fatalities recorded from January 1 to July 9, 2026, compared to 20 in the same period last year. This represents a 200% rise in deaths, suggesting that security events are becoming more deadly and posing an extreme risk to life.
Future Outlook
Given the substantial year-on-year increases in incidents, fatalities, and victims, the security outlook for Oyo remains concerning. The current trajectory suggests that without significant intervention, the state is likely to experience continued high levels of security challenges, particularly concerning violent crime and its deadly consequences.
Visual Analytics
Monthly breakdown of tracked security incidents
Top risk indicators by frequency
LGA-level incident density map
Distribution of incidents by actor type
Verified Updates
Latest verified incident records linked to this state's location intelligence profile.
Afijio
Men of Oyo State Police Command have arrested no fewer than three suspects in connection with vandalisation of some critical infrastructure in the State, worth 200 million naira.
Afijio
The Oyo State Police Command has announced the rescue of a victim of a recent kidnapping in the state.The command said Mr Owoade Matthew, who was kidnapped on July 13, has been rescued.
Afijio
Gunmen, suspected to be bandits, have kidnapped a 60-year-old headmaster of Nomadic Basic School, Igbojaye, in Itesiwaju Local Government Area of Oyo State. The victim was identified as Mr Matthew Kolawale Owoade, popularly known as Onaiye. The victims son, Abiola Owoade, said his father was returning from a visit to his farm when he was intercepted and abducted by the armed assailants.
Afijio
Men of the Oyo State Police command have arrested one suspected criminal and recovered a locally made pistol and other illegal items.The command disclosed this in a statement signed by its Public Relations Officer, Olayinka Ayanlade.
Afijio
Men of Oyo State Police command have arrested two suspected armed robbers. The command also revealed that it has recovered some items as exhibits from the suspects. In a statement signed by its Public Relations Officer, Olayinka Ayanlade, made available to DAILY POST on Wednesday, he said that the suspects carried out robbery operation along OyoIwo Expressway.
Risk Breakdown
| Indicator | Incidents (Current) | Incidents (Prev) | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kidnapping | 19 | 11 | Escalating |
| Armed Robbery | 11 | 8 | Escalating |
| Terrorism | 6 | 0 | Escalating |
| Drug Trafficking/Drug Abuse | 4 | 1 | Escalating |
| Assaults | 3 | 2 | Escalating |
| Fraud | 3 | 2 | Escalating |
| Firearms Trafficking | 2 | 1 | Escalating |
| Organ Trafficking | 2 | 3 | Improving |
| Theft | 2 | 3 | Improving |
| Economic Sabotage | 1 | 0 | Escalating |
| Human Trafficking | 1 | 1 | Stable |
| Rape | 1 | 1 | Stable |
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