Location Intelligence - Zamfara State

Tracked Incidents (2026)

73

Most Prevalent Risk

Terrorism, Homicide

Most Affected LGA

Anka

Operational Score

2.23

Ranked 6th
Weighted Contribution

Insights

Activity Pace

From January 1 to June 16, 2026, Zamfara experienced a 4.3% increase in incidents compared to the same period in 2025, rising from 70 to 73. While the number of victims decreased significantly by 40.2% (263 vs 440), the number of fatalities saw a concerning 7.4% rise (202 vs 188), indicating a more lethal trend despite fewer overall victims.

Rising Risk

Terrorism remains the most prevalent risk in Zamfara, accounting for 27 incidents between January 1 and June 16, 2026. This, coupled with 15 kidnapping incidents and 18 homicides, highlights the persistent and severe threat landscape for individuals and organizations operating in the state.

Severity Level

With 202 fatalities recorded from January 1 to June 16, 2026, compared to 188 in the same period last year, the lethality of incidents in Zamfara has increased by 7.4%. This suggests that while the total number of victims has decreased, the severity of the attacks that do occur is higher.

Future Outlook

Given the observed increase in incidents and fatalities year-on-year, the security situation in Zamfara is likely to remain volatile in the near term. Continued banditry and terrorism pose significant risks, necessitating robust security protocols for all personnel and operations within the state.

Incidents in 2026 (Monthly)

Prevalent Risk

High Impact Incidents in Zamfara (2026)

Incidents by Actors

Operational Risk

Indicator Incidents (Current) Incidents (Prev) Status
Terrorism 27 32 Improving
Kidnapping 15 62 Improving
Firearms Trafficking 4 10 Improving
Armed Robbery 1 5 Improving
Human Trafficking 1 0 Escalating
Theft 1 0 Escalating